Forecasting a fleet's operating expenses with machine learning

Machine learning on historical opex and its drivers predicted a tanker fleet's operating expenses 25–35% more accurately than the traditional methods.

Challenge

A tanker owner could not predict its fleet's operating expenses accurately with traditional methods, which made forecasting and budgeting unreliable.

Solution

Arundo trained machine-learning models on historical opex data and its key underlying drivers, benchmarked several algorithms, and used known future values of the drivers to forecast.

Impact

Opex predicted with a 25–35% improvement in accuracy over the traditional methods. The owner chose not to productise the solution.

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